Why more growth happens before the IPO
Lectura de 6 minutos
Perspectivas de Vanguard

Why more growth happens before the IPO

More of today’s value creation is happening before companies go public. Vanguard’s latest private equity (PE) outlook highlights several trends reshaping the investment landscape.

  • Companies are staying private longer. Technology firms are delaying IPOs, resulting in more growth occurring in private markets. The median age of these companies at IPO has grown more than seven-fold, from around six years in the 1980s to a recent peak of 15 in 2022. 
  • The unicorn boom continues. The number of venture capital-backed companies worth $1 billion or more has skyrocketed, from just 228 companies worth a combined $800 billion in 2016 to roughly 1,700 companies worth $8.6 trillion—an almost 11-fold increase in value.
  • Public small-cap investing is changing. The share of unprofitable companies in the Russell 2000 has more than doubled since the 1990s to roughly 40% today. Investors seeking profitable small- and mid-cap businesses may increasingly need to look beyond public markets. 
  • Secondary markets, IPOs, and AI-driven software opportunities are key themes to watch in the second half of 2026 that might benefit PE.
  • Vanguard maintains a positive long-term view on private equity, forecasting a meaningful return premium for global buyout PE over global public equities.

As companies delay public listings and scale to larger valuations, private equity may offer investors earlier access to growth and potential return premiums relative to public markets. 

For more details, read the paper: 2026 Private Equity Midyear Update: Private Longer, Public Later

 

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Notes:

Private investments involve a high degree of risk and, therefore, should be undertaken only by prospective investors capable of evaluating and bearing the risks such investments represent. Investors in private equity generally must meet certain minimum financial qualifications that may make it unsuitable for specific market participants.

All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. Be aware that fluctuations in the financial markets and other factors may cause declines in the value of your account. There is no guarantee that any particular asset allocation or mix of funds will meet your investment objectives or provide you with a given level of income.

Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

This material is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action.