Perspectivas de Mercados: Actualización mensual de economía y mercado
Este artículo está disponible sólo en inglés.
A shallow recession may be in the cards for theU.S. in 2020, with growth around 1%.
Perspectiva económica y de mercado para 2020 de Vanguard: La nueva era de incertidumbre
Nuestro resumen de perspectivas económicas y de mercados para 2020 anticipa una era de incertidumbre.
Vanguard active fixed income perspectives
It's been a strong year in the global fixed income markets as robust returns continued through the third quarter. Performance was bolstered by a continued decline in global interest rates and stability across credit sectors.
Uncertainty on trade shapes Fed policy options
Vanguard's Joe Davis looks at how uncertainty may shape the Federal Open Market Committee's thinking about short-term interest rates during their September meeting
Perspectivas destacadas
The U.S. dollar at a crossroads: Estimating fair value
Debate is intensifying about the U.S. dollar's likely direction and its implications for the global economy and portfolios. A balanced, long-term approach will help investors weather the consequences of a stronger or weaker USD.
It's not EU, it's me: Estimating the impact of Brexit on the U.K. economy
Vanguard analyzes possible Brexit scenarios and their potential effect on the U.K. economy.
What to do when markets sell off
U.S.-China trade-related market volatility has rattled the markets, but there's something investors can do in response.
Actualización de mitad de año del panorama económico y de mercado de Vanguard
Ha habido muchos acontecimientos desde que Vanguard publicó su perspectiva económica y de mercado global para 2019. En este artículo, tres economistas de Vanguard ofrecen su percepción sobre la forma en que las tensiones comerciales entre China y los Estados Unidos están cambiando el panorama.
¿Qué significa envejecimiento global para la economía mundial?
Investigación del Economista de Vanguard Jonathan Petersen señala que el gasto de aquellos mayores a 65 parece que da un giro según sus prioridades cambian, pero no disminuye.
The economics of a graying world
The percentage of the global population age 65 and older is growing, while the younger segment is shrinking. New Vanguard research looks at how this will affect economies and the markets.
The yield curve inverted. Is recession imminent?
Vanguard Senior Economist Andrew Patterson discusses the recent yield curve inversion in the bond market and what it might be signaling about the economy.
Trade tensions may test the Fed's patience on rates
Vanguard Chief Economist Joe Davis gives his perspective on where monetary policy may be headed.
What does a potential China growth scare portend?
China's GDP growth slowed to 6.4% in the fourth quarter of 2018, providing evidence of the U.S.-China trade war's economic toll. Vanguard's Qian Wang looks at the trade talks and whether Chinese stimulus measures will foster economic stability.
Desconocidos conocidos: incertidumbre, volatilidad y las probabilidades de una recesión
Este ensayo de investigación de Vanguard explora cómo influyen las condiciones financieras más restrictivas y más incertidumbre de la política en la probabilidad de una recesión. El documento también considera los efectos en la política de la tasa de interés de la Reserva Federal de EE.UU.